CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 5star vs Rare Atom - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98d732392d68f26a200310a1d988f6396bf10ecf5bb892abc4930cd2ced8a9c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rare Atomof 5star, Rare Atom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 5star | 34c | 3,050$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.73 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…1262backed Rare Atom | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 5star | 23c | 1,188$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.97 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 5star | 56c | 928.67$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.06 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed Rare Atom | 44c | 705.65$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.08 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rare Atom | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Rare Atom | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed 5star | 45c | 221.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Rare Atom | 60c | 190$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rare Atom | 68c | 188.22$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Rare Atom | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rare Atom | 66c | 135.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked 5star | 56c | 71.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Rare Atom | 60c | 49.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed Rare Atom | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Rare Atom | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…d422backed Rare Atom | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Rare Atom | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rare Atom | 78c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs Rare Atom - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs Rare Atom (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A5star won
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs Rare Atom - Map 1 Winner5star won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.