CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 5star vs Rare Atom (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x330465703cf3a6ca05a45a88ed7131e21010e4e9b33bfd6ab393ff074f3bce2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 5starof 5star, Rare Atom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rare Atom | 7c | 803.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rare Atom | 22c | 640.1$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.93 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 5star | 38c | 570.94$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.22 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 5star | 46c | 489.03$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Rare Atom | 66c | 400$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rare Atom | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Rare Atom | 54c | 299.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.66 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked 5star | 35c | 286.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.54 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rare Atom | 16c | 262.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Rare Atom | 46c | 243.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Rare Atom | 44c | 242.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked 5star | 56c | 238.69$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Rare Atom | 43c | 232.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Rare Atom | 47c | 212.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rare Atom | 50c | 153.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…969fbacked Rare Atom | 43c | 123.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rare Atom | 67c | 116$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0b…7b0fbacked Rare Atom | 65c | 114.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d54…e098backed Rare Atom | 67c | 111.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed 5star | 57c | 105.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rare Atom | 41c | 101.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Rare Atom | 70c | 97.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed 5star | 35c | 96.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 5star | 59c | 86.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 5star | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af4…e516backed 5star | 63c | 79.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed 5star | 30c | 75.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Rare Atom | 49c | 67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Rare Atom | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed 5star | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed 5star | 62c | 51.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Rare Atom | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Rare Atom | 67c | 48.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d00…7a76backed 5star | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed Rare Atom | 71c | 46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed 5star | 52c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Rare Atom | 71c | 43.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…b02fbacked 5star | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Rare Atom | 63c | 39.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed 5star | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked 5star | 45c | 38.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed Rare Atom | 64c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…8e60backed 5star | 39c | 30.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rare Atom | 40c | 25.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Rare Atom | 58c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Rare Atom | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed 5star | 61c | 19.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rare Atom | 71c | 17.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs Rare Atom (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs Rare Atom - Map 1 Winner5star won
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs Rare Atom - Map 2 WinnerRare Atom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.