Euroleague · resolved market
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Fujian Sturgeons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9914aa645f1c6fe45b8cd06a1ea127beae86c50b644549bcdf177beeb4f8a5c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhejiang Golden Bullsof Zhejiang Golden Bulls, Fujian Sturgeons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fujian Sturgeons | 20c | 2,673$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.58 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 1c | 1,970$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Fujian Sturgeons | 2c | 1,393$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Fujian Sturgeons | 20c | 1,190$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fujian Sturgeons | 5c | 799.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Fujian Sturgeons | 18c | 795.91$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.51 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 18c | 779.57$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 18c | 602.76$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Fujian Sturgeons | 21c | 592.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.83 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 75c | 520.59$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Fujian Sturgeons | 19c | 519.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 21c | 482.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Fujian Sturgeons | 21c | 455.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Fujian Sturgeons | 14c | 411.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Fujian Sturgeons | 18c | 380.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 19c | 369.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Fujian Sturgeons | 19c | 295.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 19c | 295.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 20c | 290.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 76c | 236.69$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fujian Sturgeons | 19c | 229.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…0574backed Fujian Sturgeons | 11c | 189.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fujian Sturgeons | 20c | 166.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 18c | 151.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 21c | 141.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 21c | 141.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Fujian Sturgeons | 16c | 141.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fujian Sturgeons | 14c | 138.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 80c | 121.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Fujian Sturgeons | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 18c | 110.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Fujian Sturgeons | 16c | 99.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Fujian Sturgeons | 25c | 98.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Fujian Sturgeons | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Fujian Sturgeons | 18c | 90.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fujian Sturgeons | 22c | 87.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…560bbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 16c | 71.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 21c | 70.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47a…68e6backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 80c | 51.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 79c | 41.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…5567backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 80c | 33.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 79c | 33.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 80c | 23.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 76c | 20.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.