Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x992d84aaaf13453288c74bff57b1f78ae8a58b242c02f9d9a8a6d71e815733c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DN SOOPers Challengersof Dplus KIA Challengers, DN SOOPers Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 58c | 2,241$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.07 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 42c | 2,205$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.1 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 64c | 2,190$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.56 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 36c | 1,528$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.17 | 242 | 34.7%84 W · 158 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 63c | 399.47$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.23 | 1,792 | 51.1%916 W · 876 L | +50.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 64c | 320$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 37c | 266.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…9bd5backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 48c | 209.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 36c | 116.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 35c | 96.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 62c | 73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 249 | 40.2%100 W · 149 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 52c | 57.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b2…633abacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 53c | 23.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)this page
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupDN SOOPers Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 WinnerDN SOOPers Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 WinnerDN SOOPers Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.