Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
LSU vs. Kentucky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x998914a7ef5ef90e7071cf59ce4fd1f19d8f3f82d6df9a812203aacd324d7ad2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentuckyof LSU, Kentucky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kentucky | 79c | 924.23$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.61 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f9…9782backed LSU | 14c | 734$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…ea13backed LSU | 18c | 364$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…e142backed LSU | 17c | 310$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kentucky | 66c | 301$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…be95backed LSU | 11c | 219$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…cd74backed LSU | 20c | 206$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed LSU | 13c | 166$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fe…16debacked LSU | 19c | 165$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…1138backed LSU | 18c | 124$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed LSU | 12c | 123.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ff…29f1backed LSU | 13c | 117$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…5ff4backed LSU | 13c | 112$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…f2a3backed LSU | 14c | 106$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…62c3backed LSU | 11c | 105$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x244d…09b7backed Kentucky | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…2775backed LSU | 13c | 98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…9d93backed LSU | 19c | 98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…612cbacked LSU | 18c | 94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa0…6daabacked LSU | 15c | 94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…c455backed LSU | 19c | 91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f4…b37cbacked LSU | 20c | 89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…5422backed LSU | 20c | 88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc72…ba22backed LSU | 15c | 87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653f…5bdebacked LSU | 19c | 83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…63ecbacked LSU | 14c | 83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa42…1a16backed LSU | 13c | 81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…f387backed LSU | 20c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f13…5d62backed LSU | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7338…2d40backed Kentucky | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…861abacked LSU | 19c | 63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…86d8backed LSU | 20c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…cfdcbacked Kentucky | 80c | 52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df9…e796backed Kentucky | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882d…718abacked Kentucky | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Kentucky | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…8793backed Kentucky | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…a1a6backed Kentucky | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…f35ebacked Kentucky | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…8246backed Kentucky | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fe…e4c6backed Kentucky | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88f…eb65backed Kentucky | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…ff2abacked Kentucky | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…31f5backed Kentucky | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2163…ca22backed Kentucky | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31aa…d8f7backed Kentucky | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfc…b705backed Kentucky | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…a568backed Kentucky | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.