CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Sinners (BO5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a66086366530a053ac62b18891a386bacbbe904194e293f0f9f41b976969d8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sinners | 0c | 12,771$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Sinners | 25c | 9,259$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.6 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed PARIVISION | 69c | 3,600$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed PARIVISION | 72c | 2,257$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Sinners | 21c | 1,458$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.17 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 1,275$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.75 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Sinners | 30c | 1,106$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.49 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION | 67c | 999.15$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.72 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Sinners | 14c | 861.58$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…753abacked Sinners | 13c | 739.04$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sinners | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 408.53$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Sinners | 25c | 401.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed PARIVISION | 77c | 351.31$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Sinners | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sinners | 17c | 239.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Sinners | 17c | 210.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…dcb7backed Sinners | 32c | 204.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Sinners | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfde…62ddbacked Sinners | 32c | 157.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Sinners | 19c | 151$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed PARIVISION | 71c | 141.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed Sinners | 38c | 131.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Sinners | 15c | 130.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed PARIVISION | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…07a6backed PARIVISION | 70c | 62.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed PARIVISION | 74c | 59.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Sinners | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed Sinners | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…367fbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 42.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Sinners | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…aab4backed Sinners | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed PARIVISION | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa333…8756backed PARIVISION | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 22.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…68f0backed PARIVISION | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Sinners (BO5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Sinners - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Sinners - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Sinners - Map 3 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.