Tennis · resolved market
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sloane Stephens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a69c426fbfe18d5508922690563d199399735a62f253d08a9dd231b37b9499e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mirra Andreevaof Mirra Andreeva, Sloane Stephens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sloane Stephens | 1c | 42,426$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.75 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Sloane Stephens | 10c | 19,799$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.84 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sloane Stephens | 2c | 16,891$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.48 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Sloane Stephens | 4c | 10,962$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.56 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Sloane Stephens | 7c | 3,155$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.88 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Sloane Stephens | 4c | 2,380$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Sloane Stephens | 7c | 1,941$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.43 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sloane Stephens | 8c | 1,566$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…d733backed Sloane Stephens | 2c | 1,412$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Sloane Stephens | 1c | 1,321$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sloane Stephens | 9c | 1,253$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Sloane Stephens | 6c | 1,001$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcea8…9f3ebacked Sloane Stephens | 3c | 945.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Sloane Stephens | 4c | 942.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3442…bd4dbacked Sloane Stephens | 8c | 884.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Sloane Stephens | 8c | 838.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Sloane Stephens | 2c | 702.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sloane Stephens | 8c | 685.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Sloane Stephens | 2c | 556.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Sloane Stephens | 7c | 538.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…574bbacked Sloane Stephens | 5c | 495.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Sloane Stephens | 8c | 485.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Sloane Stephens | 6c | 451.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Sloane Stephens | 6c | 409.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sloane Stephens | 5c | 344.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sloane Stephens | 7c | 298.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Sloane Stephens | 5c | 281.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sloane Stephensthis page
- Mirra Andreeva vs. Sloane Stephens: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Stephens (+1.5)Andreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.