Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Pavlovic vs Zandschulp
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aea6c654e8f530a47a0bb7d708af32c03dbc6a6a4eed90e73343354ba7fc5ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zandschulpof Pavlovic, Zandschulp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pavlovic | 5c | 1,056$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Pavlovic | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zandschulp | 63c | 197.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…9997backed Pavlovic | 34c | 162.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zandschulp | 64c | 132$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zandschulp | 73c | 82.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pavlovic | 40c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Pavlovic | 34c | 59.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 517 | 36.9%191 W · 326 L | -39.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Pavlovic | 37c | 39.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…0ab5backed Pavlovic | 39c | 38.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Zandschulp | 39c | 38.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85a0…25debacked Zandschulp | 74c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1090…1503backed Zandschulp | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…51c4backed Zandschulp | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…934cbacked Zandschulp | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c2…8977backed Zandschulp | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…7d6abacked Zandschulp | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…4434backed Zandschulp | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1faa…c1f6backed Zandschulp | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…23f3backed Zandschulp | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…abd6backed Zandschulp | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f40…cefdbacked Zandschulp | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf4…0ae8backed Zandschulp | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…8ff8backed Zandschulp | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…3036backed Zandschulp | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Pavlovic vs Zandschulpthis page
- Rotterdam Open: Luka Pavlovic vs Botic van de ZandschulpZandschulp won
- Set Handicap: Zandschulp (-1.5) vs Pavlovic (+1.5)Zandschulp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.