Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zandschulp (-1.5) vs Pavlovic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d0589e00dd45e09d6028f29432053d1a60b06f339de3c37bb9db5f66aa90cc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zandschulpof Zandschulp, Pavlovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Zandschulp | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pavlovic | 39c | 179.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Pavlovic | 35c | 126.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Pavlovic | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Pavlovic | 41c | 118$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Pavlovic | 43c | 113$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Pavlovic | 40c | 112.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Pavlovic | 42c | 104$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Zandschulp | 56c | 93.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Pavlovic | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Pavlovic | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Pavlovic | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…09d6backed Pavlovic | 50c | 40.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Pavlovic | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zandschulp | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Zandschulp | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Zandschulp | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Zandschulp | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Zandschulp | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Zandschulp | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Zandschulp | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Zandschulp | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Zandschulp | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Zandschulp | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Zandschulp | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Zandschulp | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Zandschulp | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zandschulp (-1.5) vs Pavlovic (+1.5)this page
- Rotterdam Open: Luka Pavlovic vs Botic van de ZandschulpZandschulp won
- Set 1 Winner: Pavlovic vs ZandschulpZandschulp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.