Tennis · resolved market
Rio Open, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Dusan Lajovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b4bd46b4ca7842269edc67b92b3af488423858a4aa1e6c7e1b6f8ab6eefc39a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lajovicof Dellien, Lajovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Dellien | 68c | 12,280$8,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,389.17 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lajovic | 35c | 5,966$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.52 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Lajovic | 51c | 5,048$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.21 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lajovic | 21c | 3,578$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.12 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dellien | 70c | 3,103$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.95 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Lajovic | 28c | 1,675$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.1 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Lajovic | 26c | 946.15$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.15 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Lajovic | 23c | 877.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.87 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Lajovic | 24c | 834$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.84 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Lajovic | 48c | 706.44$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.59 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Lajovic | 31c | 548.39$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.39 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Lajovic | 50c | 487.14$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.14 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Dellien | 26c | 377.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Dellien | 75c | 341.02$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.14 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Dellien | 57c | 329.79$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.86 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dellien | 68c | 315.65$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.34 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dellien | 49c | 279.93$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.07 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Dellien | 53c | 243$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lajovic | 39c | 219.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd751…58bdbacked Lajovic | 46c | 206.68$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Dellien | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lajovic | 71c | 190.78$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Lajovic | 46c | 151.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Lajovic | 13c | 126.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.72 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Dellien | 70c | 118.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Dellien | 71c | 107.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Dellien | 51c | 106.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Dellien | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Lajovic | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Lajovic | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Dellien | 60c | 61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Lajovic | 31c | 54.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Dellien | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Dellien | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lajovic | 70c | 40.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Lajovic | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Dellien | 54c | 36.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1a…9359backed Lajovic | 54c | 25.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…7758backed Lajovic | 44c | 23.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Lajovic | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…5d1dbacked Dellien | 78c | 21.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Lajovic | 75c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Open, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Dusan Lajovicthis page
- Set Handicap: Lajovic (-1.5) vs Dellien (+1.5)Dellien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.