TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Poland vs Czech Republic - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Polandof Poland, Czech Republic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,536 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeda6…84c5backed Czech Republic13c990.75$125 inLost-$124.921637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Czech Republic12c697.85$83 inLost-$82.883,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Czech Republic15c295.58$45 inLost-$45.1924840.7%101 W · 147 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Czech Republic6c257$15 inLost-$15.329352.7%49 W · 44 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Czech Republic8c216.89$17 inLost-$17.2743152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Czech Republic13c215$28 inLost-$27.9529340.6%119 W · 174 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Czech Republic14c202$28 inLost-$28.2844343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9cc…7262backed Czech Republic6c200$12 inLost-$124254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Czech Republic16c164$26 inLost-$26.2434943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Czech Republic21c163$34 inLost-$34.237245.8%33 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Czech Republic19c160$31 inLost-$30.6212334.1%42 W · 81 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed Czech Republic12c111$13 inLost-$13.0132544.3%144 W · 181 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Czech Republic13c99.99$13 inLost-$131,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Czech Republic17c89.04$15 inLost-$1520952.6%110 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed Czech Republic16c87.5$14 inLost-$1428052.9%148 W · 132 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f83…3af9backed Czech Republic21c80.05$17 inLost-$171833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.