Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mexico beat Costa Rica?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b58f5e56e549060d86719911570cb84e5cdd9c883c5ad51daf7ca77f493799e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 53c | 3,426$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.91 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 47c | 3,400$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…28ddbacked Yes | 61c | 776.44$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 39c | 491.63$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.21 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 42c | 375.66$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.28 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 59c | 250$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.33 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 39c | 243.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.76 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 39c | 190$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 61c | 122.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…e776backed No | 43c | 117.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked Yes | 61c | 81.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 39c | 64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…0de1backed Yes | 61c | 58.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 47c | 31.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…8cfebacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1796…a893backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Yes | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico beat Costa Rica?this page
- Will Costa Rica beat Mexico?No won
- Will Mexico vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.