Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Tarleton State Texans (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b928a3bd3d26a8db665f119b9bf408e8cdff4ddfe3e3d97946a83dcf1a58b83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tarleton State Texansof UT Arlington Mavericks, Tarleton State Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 65c | 1,902$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.74 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 56c | 1,435$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.98 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Tarleton State Texans | 30c | 1,283$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.88 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tarleton State Texans | 52c | 1,254$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.28 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 2c | 899.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tarleton State Texans | 42c | 652.19$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.26 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tarleton State Texans | 38c | 300$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tarleton State Texans | 52c | 258.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.77 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Tarleton State Texans | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.58 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Tarleton State Texans | 64c | 62.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Tarleton State Texans | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.