Tennis · resolved market
ITF Frankfurt: Vincent Dullinger vs Julien Penzlin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bab74b1a3917e07f6b4095eccdb95eaff2c3003c60d935156564b6f5568041e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vincent Dullingerof Vincent Dullinger, Julien Penzlin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Julien Penzlin | 49c | 2,631$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.19 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vincent Dullinger | 53c | 2,271$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.68 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Vincent Dullinger | 49c | 316.44$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.77 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Vincent Dullinger | 76c | 303.74$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Julien Penzlin | 14c | 267.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Julien Penzlin | 24c | 213.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Julien Penzlin | 49c | 139.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…6019backed Vincent Dullinger | 76c | 138.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Julien Penzlin | 25c | 109.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Vincent Dullinger | 44c | 91.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb034…28b5backed Vincent Dullinger | 62c | 87.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Julien Penzlin | 42c | 67.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Vincent Dullinger | 56c | 57.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Vincent Dullinger | 63c | 53.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Vincent Dullinger | 49c | 32.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Julien Penzlin | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Vincent Dullinger | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Julien Penzlin | 43c | 29.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Vincent Dullinger | 62c | 28.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 164 | 67.1%110 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Julien Penzlin | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…7fd0backed Julien Penzlin | 39c | 27.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Vincent Dullinger | 45c | 23.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.