CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Team Novaq - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c395c2169c5732156051e5d660877a2e2e5dcbeb10f38070a1922a84a280a62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Novaqof HOTU, Team Novaq
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Team Novaq | 57c | 676.76$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.61 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked HOTU | 36c | 566.57$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Novaq | 12c | 400$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Team Novaq | 50c | 383$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.5 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed HOTU | 44c | 239.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HOTU | 70c | 205.09$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed HOTU | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked HOTU | 54c | 170$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked HOTU | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked HOTU | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 74.2%66 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed HOTU | 42c | 105$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…45aebacked HOTU | 36c | 78.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed HOTU | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +68%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ed…50efbacked HOTU | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Team Novaq - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Team Novaq (BO3)HOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Team Novaq - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.