South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c5a8f729e2617b95be97156ca8258e29c204b02c5450f1d7a3980662391d029
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 5,237$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.1 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 58c | 2,740$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.97 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 1,249$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.11 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 61c | 1,107$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.12 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 58c | 946.99$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.26 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 216 | 47.2%102 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 59c | 285.78$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.61 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 266$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 1,393 | 52.6%733 W · 660 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 58c | 248.84$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 58c | 238.09$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 231.92$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 224.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 33c | 217$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 42c | 205.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.31 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 26c | 192.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 33c | 121.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 105.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 5,831 | 45.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L | +99.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed No | 40c | 103$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…9248backed Yes | 17c | 95.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 40c | 88.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 48c | 81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed No | 42c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 58c | 60.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 3,449 | 51.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea9…469bbacked Yes | 53c | 56.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…8cfebacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.5wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Yes | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055d…8686backed No | 41c | 41.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 34c | 40.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 503 | 35.4%178 W · 325 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 58c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1,442 | 51.9%748 W · 694 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Yes | 60c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…77f6backed Yes | 37c | 32.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 42c | 31.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 41c | 29.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Yes | 60c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Yes | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Yes | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Yes | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 2,655 | 54.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…f8c4backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…f312backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will CF Monterrey vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.