South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0030cce09d92c371e733d1ec5883187b8e2219d5a47246f575708650e4726e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 1,118$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.02 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 11c | 684$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 68c | 651.83$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.17 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 17c | 597.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 34c | 535$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 31c | 525$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.75 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 393$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 42c | 355.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.14 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 334.69$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 21c | 326$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 43c | 270.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 19c | 260.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 149.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 66c | 101.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 24c | 99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 17c | 78.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 63c | 63.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 51.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked No | 34c | 48.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…9248backed Yes | 64c | 45.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 65c | 37.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 54c | 34.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Yes | 59c | 17.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will CF Monterrey vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.