Olympics · resolved market
Women's Semifinals - Canada vs. Switzerland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ca67e20b580763eeae1019d4f82546d0a1107e064076454e9d2b108e5fcb84c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadaof Canada, Switzerland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Switzerland | 1c | 24,819$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.34 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Switzerland | 1c | 20,652$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.43 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Switzerland | 1c | 19,066$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Switzerland | 1c | 15,857$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Switzerland | 2c | 15,209$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Switzerland | 1c | 14,790$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.62 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Switzerland | 1c | 7,448$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Switzerland | 0c | 7,124$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Switzerland | 1c | 6,461$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Switzerland | 1c | 4,348$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2198…1d3ebacked Switzerland | 2c | 2,127$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…054cbacked Switzerland | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Switzerland | 1c | 1,940$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Switzerland | 3c | 1,922$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Switzerland | 1c | 1,822$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e4…22cbbacked Switzerland | 1c | 1,700$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Switzerland | 2c | 1,485$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Switzerland | 2c | 1,413$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Switzerland | 1c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…69adbacked Switzerland | 1c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Switzerland | 2c | 1,215$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +127%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…fd88backed Switzerland | 2c | 1,208$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc7…d799backed Switzerland | 2c | 900$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Switzerland | 2c | 819.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…504cbacked Switzerland | 2c | 801.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…b9c3backed Switzerland | 2c | 772.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Switzerland | 2c | 721.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c0…15fbbacked Switzerland | 2c | 490$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Switzerland | 3c | 440.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.