TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Crashers vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Crashersof Crashers, UNO MILLE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,640 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x084b…3de6backed Crashers56c2,208$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.2924550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNO MILLE61c772.66$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.445,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Crashers59c598.12$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.372,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Crashers65c542$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.792152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UNO MILLE35c367.69$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.697,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked UNO MILLE48c367.02$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.661,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed UNO MILLE33c315$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.955,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked UNO MILLE16c291$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.772,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed UNO MILLE17c253.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.776,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed UNO MILLE25c179.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.871,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed UNO MILLE60c168$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed UNO MILLE10c160$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed UNO MILLE35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x602a…9a6ebacked UNO MILLE44c118$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.926841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Crashers50c98.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.411,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed UNO MILLE12c88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.642213.6%3 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick8cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked UNO MILLE49c61.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.235635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Crashers55c33.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2743239.1%169 W · 263 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked UNO MILLE57c31.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8572451.2%371 W · 353 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1427…145abacked Crashers80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.