Tennis · resolved market
Alexander Blockx vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9db6dfc7427ca285a28b50da4b1ebe14a159c9834bc47b5dc24aec2522ce22f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Over 2.5 | 36c | 389.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Under 2.5 | 66c | 364.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.53 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Over 2.5 | 36c | 323.49$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over 2.5 | 31c | 317.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over 2.5 | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over 2.5 | 35c | 234.89$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under 2.5 | 70c | 233.98$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under 2.5 | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under 2.5 | 64c | 199.83$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under 2.5 | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Over 2.5 | 34c | 146.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Over 2.5 | 34c | 146.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under 2.5 | 62c | 125.32$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under 2.5 | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 2.5 | 64c | 98.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Over 2.5 | 34c | 88.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under 2.5 | 77c | 73.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under 2.5 | 66c | 61.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under 2.5 | 69c | 60.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under 2.5 | 69c | 59.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c6…09a2backed Over 2.5 | 34c | 58.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under 2.5 | 69c | 55.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under 2.5 | 69c | 54.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under 2.5 | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Under 2.5 | 64c | 41.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Under 2.5 | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Under 2.5 | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Under 2.5 | 69c | 21.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under 2.5 | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Under 2.5 | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under 2.5 | 69c | 19.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alexander Blockx vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Blockx vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Blockx vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Blockx vs. Zverev: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Blockx vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Blockx vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Blockx vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.