Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Stefan Kozlov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9db8a67fa6e327fc0b414e57f704dbaf1ad02a1c2b9c76742d87be8a0956f8e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zachary Svajdaof Zachary Svajda, Stefan Kozlov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef53…4591backed Stefan Kozlov | 3c | 37,550$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.29 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stefan Kozlov | 20c | 6,828$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Zachary Svajda | 79c | 3,949$3,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.43 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Stefan Kozlov | 16c | 3,723$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.48 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Stefan Kozlov | 18c | 1,900$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Stefan Kozlov | 17c | 1,313$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.78 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Stefan Kozlov | 1c | 1,266$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Stefan Kozlov | 24c | 1,192$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.78 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Stefan Kozlov | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Stefan Kozlov | 18c | 927.75$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Stefan Kozlov | 18c | 694.8$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Stefan Kozlov | 19c | 415.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Stefan Kozlov | 18c | 399.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Stefan Kozlov | 16c | 389.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Stefan Kozlov | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Stefan Kozlov | 15c | 266.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Stefan Kozlov | 17c | 151.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Stefan Kozlov | 16c | 98.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Stefan Kozlov | 18c | 97.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Stefan Kozlov | 26c | 79.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Stefan Kozlov | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Stefan Kozlov | 18c | 55.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45a8…5aedbacked Zachary Svajda | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +10.5wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +33%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Zachary Svajda | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Stefan Kozlov | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf04…6bf7backed Zachary Svajda | 80c | 13.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.76 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -6.3wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.