CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Omega vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - JB Pro League Season 2 Group stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dcdd799e4831dbf1282eef0bdcfd3aceb0eef7d688d40e219b221d4d1b612ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omegaof Omega, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Omega | 51c | 760.82$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.1 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked VP.Prodigy | 51c | 560.87$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed VP.Prodigy | 49c | 510$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Omega | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed VP.Prodigy | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…002bbacked Omega | 54c | 186.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Omega | 51c | 177$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked VP.Prodigy | 51c | 162.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Omega | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Omega | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Omega | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Omega | 55c | 44.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…e8c3backed VP.Prodigy | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…671fbacked Omega | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked Omega | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.