Lol · resolved market
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Forsaken - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dd6f90fbc6418d9945a4af0a7f3b962b3a40dce6b288868dc1f144141557cbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BOMBA Teamof BOMBA Team, Forsaken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed BOMBA Team | 47c | 1,612$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.53 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed Forsaken | 51c | 1,085$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.31 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed BOMBA Team | 48c | 790.14$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.1 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed Forsaken | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…22babacked BOMBA Team | 54c | 372.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Forsaken | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae6…01aabacked Forsaken | 51c | 194.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Forsaken | 50c | 179.61$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Forsaken | 51c | 156.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed BOMBA Team | 38c | 107$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed BOMBA Team | 42c | 94.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed BOMBA Team | 47c | 44.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed BOMBA Team | 47c | 36.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Forsaken - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Forsaken (BO5) - Rift Legends PlayoffsBOMBA Team won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Forsaken - Game 1 WinnerForsaken won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Forsaken - Game 2 WinnerForsaken won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Forsaken - Game 3 WinnerBOMBA Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.