Lol · resolved market
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Forsaken - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5d82a15c385da8e2ede9e1d65e589f06967f9d62610997f26727d622444479a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BOMBA Teamof BOMBA Team, Forsaken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed Forsaken | 50c | 4,022$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.46 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked BOMBA Team | 80c | 3,248$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.6 | 1,300 | 45.2%587 W · 713 L | +50.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Forsaken | 53c | 1,986$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.37 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed BOMBA Team | 52c | 1,052$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.82 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Forsaken | 50c | 553.99$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.59 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BOMBA Team | 43c | 463$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.37 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Forsaken | 16c | 358.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Forsaken | 55c | 354.61$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.04 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed BOMBA Team | 72c | 335.85$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed BOMBA Team | 47c | 285$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…b335backed BOMBA Team | 78c | 205$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Forsaken | 34c | 163.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb99a…1300backed Forsaken | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Forsaken | 13c | 152.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 807 | 50.8%410 W · 397 L | +48.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BOMBA Team | 47c | 149$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Forsaken | 17c | 142.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed BOMBA Team | 48c | 134$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Forsaken | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked BOMBA Team | 44c | 93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 305 | 45.2%138 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed BOMBA Team | 46c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 439 | 47.6%209 W · 230 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Forsaken | 18c | 82.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked BOMBA Team | 46c | 78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 373 | 45%168 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked BOMBA Team | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…192cbacked Forsaken | 44c | 55.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed BOMBA Team | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BOMBA Team | 42c | 48.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed BOMBA Team | 39c | 45.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked BOMBA Team | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 453 | 44.6%202 W · 251 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed BOMBA Team | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Forsaken - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Forsaken (BO5) - Rift Legends PlayoffsBOMBA Team won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Forsaken - Game 1 WinnerForsaken won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Forsaken - Game 2 WinnerForsaken won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Forsaken - Game 4 WinnerBOMBA Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.