Tennis · resolved market
China Open: Terence Atmane vs Zhizhen Zhang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e07d3f45f1199b652a2809ca0d441786e57416c5f261842a162c5e0c34c7062
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atmaneof Atmane, Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Atmane | 62c | 3,052$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.42 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Zhang | 31c | 1,625$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.55 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Zhang | 38c | 1,177$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.35 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zhang | 29c | 996.15$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.66 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Atmane | 60c | 686.66$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.26 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Zhang | 37c | 660.12$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.12 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Atmane | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Zhang | 28c | 444$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Atmane | 63c | 398$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.26 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Zhang | 27c | 382.86$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Atmane | 63c | 347.62$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.62 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Atmane | 65c | 246.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Atmane | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Atmane | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Atmane | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Atmane | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…21ffbacked Zhang | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.