Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Lourdes Carle
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e1e0d47282c67bc79c9666928fc64aa7fe9667da5eb675c40599b1b33b3f94c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kamilla Rakhimovaof Kamilla Rakhimova, Maria Lourdes Carle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 3c | 1,746$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 25c | 1,013$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.19 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ba86backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 76c | 790.85$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.85 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 73c | 684.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.02 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…02c6backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 4c | 512.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 20c | 498.13$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 22c | 340.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 15c | 326.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 26c | 299$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 74c | 263.24$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 11c | 248.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 25c | 227.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 77c | 221.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 855 | 68.3%584 W · 271 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…85bebacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 79c | 190.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 75c | 188$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 74c | 155$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 26c | 152$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 75c | 131.72$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 33c | 112.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 74c | 106$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 26c | 92.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 69c | 81.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 74c | 77.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 73c | 68.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 18c | 65.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 17c | 62.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 74c | 62.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 22c | 49.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 26c | 49.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 73c | 43.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 690 | 51.2%353 W · 337 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Kamilla Rakhimova | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 992 | 55.9%555 W · 437 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Kamilla Rakhimova | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Lourdes Carlethis page
- Set Handicap: Rakhimova (-1.5) vs Carle (+1.5)Rakhimova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.