Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Rinderknech vs Tabur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e6d9c0b6007cae72d5d7ac191a55789a863fb5ef74093672764d9ccdab5d9ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taburof Rinderknech, Tabur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1393…9cf8backed Rinderknech | 64c | 7,528$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.46 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Tabur | 35c | 2,397$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.02 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Tabur | 36c | 1,667$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.66 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Tabur | 36c | 1,528$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.77 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tabur | 35c | 1,197$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.05 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tabur | 46c | 1,095$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.92 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Rinderknech | 51c | 1,006$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tabur | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Tabur | 46c | 368.02$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.73 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Rinderknech | 44c | 340.56$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.56 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rinderknech | 57c | 276$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Tabur | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Rinderknech | 47c | 241.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…3c88backed Rinderknech | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Tabur | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tabur | 79c | 165.36$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Tabur | 53c | 159.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Tabur | 57c | 153.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rinderknech | 25c | 147.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Tabur | 35c | 132$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…d02bbacked Rinderknech | 53c | 131.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…2081backed Rinderknech | 56c | 117.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Tabur | 36c | 114.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Tabur | 52c | 88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Rinderknech | 43c | 83.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Rinderknech | 47c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Rinderknech | 47c | 52.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Tabur | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Rinderknech | 40c | 37.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Tabur | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761d…f16dbacked Tabur | 44c | 25.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Rinderknech | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Rinderknech | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Rinderknech vs Taburthis page
- Rinderknech vs. Tabur: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Rinderknech vs. Tabur: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 2 Winner: Rinderknech vs TaburRinderknech won
- Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Clement TaburArthur Rinderknech won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.