Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-12-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e700e1769ceb519e8f4f08739d3863bab4b1b93a0fdbcc1ae3b73a206736a87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked No | 69c | 10,093$6,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,172.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 3,251$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.88 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 2,415$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.09 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 33c | 2,101$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.38 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 32c | 1,400$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 33c | 910$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.06 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 732.19$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.48 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 31c | 730$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.3 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 728.48$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.74 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 34c | 714.79$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.03 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 674.8$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.68 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed Yes | 7c | 541.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 410$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.3 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 22c | 355.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 31c | 334.1$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 32c | 325$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 301$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 252.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 30c | 212.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 210.82$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 65c | 185.09$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 8c | 162.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Yes | 32c | 149.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 68c | 123.53$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 73c | 73.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe9…26f7backed Yes | 33c | 71.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked No | 67c | 56.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Yes | 32c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 32c | 37.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed Yes | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked No | 63c | 31.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed No | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-12-12?this page
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-12-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.