Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bakio: Mikel Martinez vs Bernardo Munk Mesa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e93db0a9ad5b9ebb7d28089e92281d105ed0d38d9805411d309032f1a6ee44a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bernardo Munk Mesaof Mikel Martinez, Bernardo Munk Mesa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 57c | 898.7$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.17 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mikel Martinez | 39c | 240.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Mikel Martinez | 73c | 185$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.23 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 74c | 161.54$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 32c | 161.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Mikel Martinez | 65c | 134.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Mikel Martinez | 33c | 131$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 51c | 128.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Mikel Martinez | 62c | 120.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Mikel Martinez | 51c | 119.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 53c | 98.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Mikel Martinez | 40c | 93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 67c | 72.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mikel Martinez | 21c | 65.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mikel Martinez | 33c | 62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mikel Martinez | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Mikel Martinez | 70c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Mikel Martinez | 40c | 44.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 32c | 43.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 69c | 40.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Mikel Martinez | 50c | 26.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Mikel Martinez | 40c | 26.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Mikel Martinez | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 53c | 19.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…be40backed Bernardo Munk Mesa | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Bernardo Munk Mesa | 77c | 13.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.