Cricket · resolved market
Asia Cup: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eac0da827677f44ffd6d45ad4bba737a2be3cf7cb9416751525dc5ca5f3da5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pakistanof Pakistan, Lanka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd986…1320backed Pakistan | 58c | 3,080$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.2 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Lanka | 42c | 3,071$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f6…18bcbacked Pakistan | 55c | 1,085$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Lanka | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lanka | 14c | 896.13$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lanka | 3c | 584$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…0ed0backed Lanka | 33c | 365.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked Lanka | 12c | 289.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lanka | 22c | 286.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Pakistan | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Lanka | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc1…0adabacked Lanka | 46c | 189.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Pakistan | 54c | 131.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Lanka | 37c | 124.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Pakistan | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Pakistan | 54c | 99.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…9e8abacked Pakistan | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…3045backed Lanka | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…a6b7backed Lanka | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Pakistan | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lanka | 46c | 64.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…532abacked Pakistan | 58c | 43.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e57…fbfdbacked Lanka | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Lanka | 35c | 34.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Pakistan | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.