NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eaf2f2de8a2e38a60777bfd4c9215cb8125fab2386715c6d43bf82796facde7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 49c | 3,486$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 51c | 2,555$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.95 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 2,098$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.64 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…3b61backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 51c | 852.11$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.7 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 49c | 740$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.3 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 663.45$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.65 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 620.03$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.49 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 44c | 495.88$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.19 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 442$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.58 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 53c | 400.74$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.35 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 51c | 370$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 47c | 362.85$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.19 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 51c | 281$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.69 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 56c | 273.04$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 70c | 236$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 14c | 154.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Over | 40c | 117.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 25c | 87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 31c | 83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 51c | 56.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Over | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 71c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 28.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Over | 47c | 22.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. UtahBlackhawks won
- Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.