NHL · resolved market
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe634d3d2f6fdfd291ac16b6a091b06e75751cef92c348a747154aad429dfef99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Utah, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Blackhawks | 46c | 2,555$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.69 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Utah | 54c | 1,829$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.64 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 47c | 583.62$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.22 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Utah | 54c | 474.07$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blackhawks | 57c | 446.7$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.74 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…3d49backed Utah | 26c | 422.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 34c | 392.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Utah | 54c | 375.56$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Utah | 53c | 303.47$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.84 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Blackhawks | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Blackhawks | 48c | 281.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.66 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Blackhawks | 47c | 213.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Blackhawks | 62c | 194.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01d…a45cbacked Utah | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Blackhawks | 45c | 150.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…2bb0backed Utah | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Blackhawks | 73c | 122.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Utah | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Utah | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Utah | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Utah | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Utah | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Utah | 36c | 95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Utah | 35c | 87.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Utah | 24c | 78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…d306backed Utah | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Utah | 30c | 66.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Utah | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…55a4backed Blackhawks | 46c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x432f…0b4cbacked Utah | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.38per pick | 53cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Utah | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Blackhawks | 46c | 49.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Blackhawks | 60c | 48.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…25f8backed Utah | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Utah | 52c | 40.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Utah | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Utah | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Blackhawks | 46c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Utah | 53c | 34.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Utah | 32c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Utah | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Blackhawks | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Utah | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Blackhawks | 45c | 25.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Utah | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Blackhawks | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)this page
- Blackhawks vs. UtahBlackhawks won
- Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.