Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bodo Glimt beat Maccabi TLV?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ec6b7cb02792e332483682c75571d86f810132be1d924e2e574876926fb7ceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267a…425dbacked No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 62c | 162$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 54c | 151.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 64c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 36c | 149.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf113…2d48backed Yes | 66c | 136.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…18e7backed Yes | 57c | 85.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd26…9cffbacked No | 42c | 63.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 46c | 63.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 62c | 62.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 34c | 48.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…934dbacked No | 39c | 42.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…1265backed Yes | 56c | 37.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…4ca0backed No | 44c | 37.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe455…05cabacked No | 39c | 36.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…51f9backed Yes | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…16bebacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229a…2df9backed Yes | 55c | 30.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5b…ca42backed No | 45c | 30.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bb…19a5backed No | 40c | 27.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…01c2backed Yes | 55c | 23.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…05a0backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…5a12backed Yes | 62c | 21.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 61c | 21.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…9cafbacked Yes | 61c | 20.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…a6c7backed Yes | 55c | 20.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…eea3backed Yes | 61c | 20.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…c1babacked Yes | 56c | 19.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bodo Glimt beat Maccabi TLV?this page
- Will Maccabi TLV beat Bodo Glimt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.