Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ee41a9e301abbe70217e59677b9a7f8b32d61df325d910f2b88aa3adfdd6e04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 69c | 2,551$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.43 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Over | 31c | 766.88$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.73 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 31c | 766.88$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.73 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 30c | 702.77$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.83 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Under | 71c | 615.85$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.54 | 139 | 71.2%99 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 70c | 545.63$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.69 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Over | 31c | 479.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 28c | 295.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 12c | 177.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Over | 31c | 123.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e06…40c9backed Over | 14c | 101.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed2…67adbacked Over | 31c | 83.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…98e9backed Under | 70c | 74.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Under | 72c | 68.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked Over | 30c | 65.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Over | 33c | 56.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8d…105abacked Under | 70c | 56.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…58a3backed Under | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.