Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Jaguars vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f2eacaa1d805610a6b50c33269fd9069b4cb546008bc83f6c5e11dc122aff15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 56c | 1,636$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.44 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 1,007$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.28 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 869.04$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.12 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 49c | 349$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.99 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 311.72$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.03 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 52c | 285.86$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.17 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 51c | 130.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 56c | 78.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 43c | 69.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 51c | 66.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Over | 46c | 42.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…77c3backed Over | 46c | 42.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 43c | 34.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 46c | 33.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 49c | 32.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Over | 46c | 26.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…221dbacked Under | 57c | 24.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Jaguars vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 153.5this page
- Southern Jaguars vs. Alabama State HornetsSouthern Jaguars won
- Southern Jaguars vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Alabama State Hornets (-1.5)Southern Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.