TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes11c1,214$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.91,00110.5%105 W · 896 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes8c263.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3462539.5%247 W · 378 L+48.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes9c176.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.321533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed Yes11c136.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-30.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cce…e599backed No76c131.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.351435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffe0…919ebacked No79c126.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.16366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…7026backed Yes39c107.1$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1131242.9%134 W · 178 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4616…a910backed No69c103.54$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6233670.2%236 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdff9…f85dbacked Yes22c87.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.181127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f4f…c2f1backed Yes18c83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3314751%75 W · 72 L+18.0wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+29.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0442…c517backed Yes32c60.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.349135.2%32 W · 59 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+53.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x881a…ccccbacked Yes32c48.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5313235.6%47 W · 85 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No79c47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9630955%170 W · 139 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9439…9d6fbacked Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No54c34.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9951018.2%93 W · 417 L-89.7wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No79c21.06$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.412548%60 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No78c17.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8210738.3%41 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No75c14.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7621857.8%126 W · 92 L+0.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.