La Liga · resolved market
Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f43f44c70d9b5ac771c05e863d08f6a303408c98585b57bb14c9ac0fe0678b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,517 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 14,145$6,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,759.3 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 53c | 11,000$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,169.96 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.98 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 1,741$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.14 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 1,234$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.04 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 48c | 984.01$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 56c | 899.98$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 55c | 599.78$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.9 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 559.16$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.38 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 59c | 542.6$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.77 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 47c | 499.98$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 55c | 363.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.75 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 328$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.16 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 242.4$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 179.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Under | 47c | 178.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 42c | 131.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 119.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 111.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 47c | 103.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 14c | 87.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 47c | 79.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 56c | 78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Under | 48c | 70.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 69.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 24c | 54.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 44c | 45.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Under | 45c | 40.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 48c | 32.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…31b7backed Over | 53c | 32.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 47c | 31.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Under | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Over | 64c | 24.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 60c | 17.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.