South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fc3f5efdb70d3db99ed8332c4f3444d5d2c8074d2cbd02e337ccbe8be06131e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,865$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.63 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 35c | 1,249$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.06 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 26c | 755.94$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.54 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 666.65$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 34c | 580$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.65 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 43c | 232.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 49c | 196.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c24…7546backed No | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…6ffdbacked No | 50c | 173$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa454…9015backed Yes | 50c | 169.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dac…b2c2backed No | 50c | 167.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab6…5c99backed Yes | 50c | 163.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b00…0dd7backed Yes | 50c | 160.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…eb94backed Yes | 50c | 159.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09e…94b0backed Yes | 50c | 159.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe812…125cbacked No | 50c | 157$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…c341backed Yes | 50c | 156.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900a…0a53backed No | 50c | 154$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a8…fe76backed Yes | 50c | 148.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…a343backed No | 50c | 143$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…0052backed Yes | 50c | 137.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…6bd9backed No | 50c | 137$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…c7c0backed No | 50c | 134$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…dd78backed No | 50c | 133$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Yes | 39c | 128.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5f…72fdbacked Yes | 50c | 126.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4b…224cbacked No | 50c | 123$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…5144backed Yes | 50c | 120.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Yes | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 19c | 95.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 55.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 51c | 50.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 76c | 41.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…86fbbacked No | 51c | 33.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f1…7633backed Yes | 51c | 32.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 23.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 70c | 19.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 58c | 17.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Mineiro vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-2.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.