Lol · resolved market
LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa07e01bf4f17c66652ba32d2fcab1c40e99a527c40db50540ff23a41a4c69d64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mCon esportsof mCon esports, Once Upon A Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed mCon esports | 77c | 449.2$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Once Upon A Team | 19c | 418.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed mCon esports | 64c | 336.26$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Once Upon A Team | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…2ec5backed mCon esports | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Once Upon A Team | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Once Upon A Team | 26c | 178.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed mCon esports | 75c | 159$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked mCon esports | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 465 | 60%279 W · 186 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Once Upon A Team | 25c | 131.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Once Upon A Team | 23c | 129$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Once Upon A Team | 35c | 112.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed mCon esports | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 274 | 55.8%153 W · 121 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed Once Upon A Team | 19c | 81.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 411 | 51.1%210 W · 201 L | +19.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked Once Upon A Team | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…5267backed mCon esports | 78c | 51.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 155 | 71%110 W · 45 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked mCon esports | 76c | 45.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…d3f9backed mCon esports | 58c | 43.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked mCon esports | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed mCon esports | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked mCon esports | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…1b3abacked Once Upon A Team | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked mCon esports | 67c | 22.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed mCon esports | 70c | 21.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed mCon esports | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked mCon esports | 79c | 12.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.64 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MCN (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5)mCon esports won
- LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasonmCon esports won
- LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 2 WinnermCon esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.