NHL · resolved market
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0dc78d4af690289ef078e28250ba8c816699dc7b1cd7d6bb67bf1fb7ecedeee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ak Bars Kazanof Ak Bars Kazan, Salavat Yulaev Ufa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd092…342abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 1,348$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.79 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5691…16a7backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 33c | 1,106$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 30c | 997.11$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.13 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe813…0cbfbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 33c | 846$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe044…1b1abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 67c | 786$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a6…3152backed Ak Bars Kazan | 67c | 698$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 28c | 405.73$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0785backed Ak Bars Kazan | 67c | 320$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 12c | 166.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9258…6458backed Ak Bars Kazan | 67c | 148$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 23c | 103.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…b657backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…1885backed Ak Bars Kazan | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.