Tennis · resolved market
Bucaramanga: Samuel Linde vs Christopher Li
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0f21a6f5c6d562846a5680e4d23c3c748ba564e13bb933b9d803aeca54e03e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Christopher Liof Samuel Linde, Christopher Li
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,175 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Samuel Linde | 18c | 326.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Samuel Linde | 39c | 203$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Samuel Linde | 12c | 143.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…0dd7backed Christopher Li | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Samuel Linde | 10c | 138.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Samuel Linde | 23c | 136.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Samuel Linde | 32c | 133.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Christopher Li | 75c | 107.19$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Christopher Li | 69c | 99.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Samuel Linde | 34c | 70.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Samuel Linde | 17c | 60.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…7febbacked Samuel Linde | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…9588backed Christopher Li | 68c | 58.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Christopher Li | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 992 | 55.9%555 W · 437 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Christopher Li | 64c | 51.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Christopher Li | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samuel Linde | 39c | 38.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Samuel Linde | 31c | 32.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Christopher Li | 66c | 29.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Samuel Linde | 39c | 27.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Christopher Li | 74c | 27.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Christopher Li | 69c | 25.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucaramanga: Samuel Linde vs Christopher Lithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Linde vs LiLi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.