NHL · resolved market
SHL: Oerebro HK vs. Luleaa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa181a87a605c7c942aa74e5dc6e4481e578b3e39cd99d7a91e9f49172be544b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luleaaof Oerebro HK, Luleaa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,377 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Luleaa | 47c | 281.4$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.14 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Luleaa | 50c | 204.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Oerebro HK | 54c | 199.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Oerebro HK | 52c | 189.77$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Oerebro HK | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Luleaa | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Oerebro HK | 51c | 68.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…3351backed Luleaa | 50c | 67.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oerebro HK | 52c | 63.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Oerebro HK | 29c | 56.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Oerebro HK | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Luleaa | 71c | 25.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…9d2fbacked Luleaa | 47c | 21.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…f6e4backed Luleaa | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534f…9a55backed Luleaa | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.