College Football · resolved market
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa192fd14e612d265d77e75ae5688c70416ec4aa30c071d573ad4a6d53235267b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maryland Terrapinsof Nebraska Cornhuskers, Maryland Terrapins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 22,748$11,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,950.38 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maryland Terrapins | 47c | 10,976$5,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,812.16 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 8,166$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.66 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Maryland Terrapins | 47c | 7,572$3,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Maryland Terrapins | 47c | 6,353$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353.18 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Maryland Terrapins | 49c | 4,907$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.57 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maryland Terrapins | 48c | 4,694$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.13 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 3,796$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.92 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Maryland Terrapins | 47c | 3,673$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.14 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Maryland Terrapins | 48c | 1,961$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.72 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Maryland Terrapins | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Maryland Terrapins | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Maryland Terrapins | 48c | 209.79$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Maryland Terrapins | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Maryland Terrapins | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…a079backed Maryland Terrapins | 50c | 99.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Maryland Terrapins | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Maryland Terrapins | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x513a…7e3ebacked Maryland Terrapins | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…8c92backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 47.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Maryland Terrapins | 46c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 39.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 37.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Maryland Terrapins | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maryland Terrapins | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-6.5)this page
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Maryland TerrapinsNebraska Cornhuskers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.