Tennis · resolved market
Boss Open: Michelsen vs. Engel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1a59a20523b99b43a6119fa8a2677c7aed6634374d75463ef5626bf74ccacb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Engel of Michelsen, Engel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Engel | 12c | 5,520$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,857.97 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Engel | 15c | 4,590$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.83 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Michelsen | 12c | 2,982$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.78 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b1…1306backed Engel | 15c | 2,011$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.52 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Engel | 13c | 999.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.98 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Engel | 16c | 788.12$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Michelsen | 59c | 749.06$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.2 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Engel | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Michelsen | 55c | 370.81$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.05 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Engel | 16c | 370.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.57 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Michelsen | 64c | 85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.