CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: FURIA vs. Lynn Vision
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa222312954b129845924b16d94f0042c908cf36c4e329c39104f087810125e59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked FURIA | 75c | 15,025$11,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,757.99 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lynn Vision | 25c | 3,693$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.31 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Lynn Vision | 24c | 3,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Lynn Vision | 25c | 2,805$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.54 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Lynn Vision | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Lynn Vision | 20c | 2,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Lynn Vision | 21c | 1,858$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.1 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…c5c6backed FURIA | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…3bc2backed Lynn Vision | 28c | 995$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Lynn Vision | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…000bbacked Lynn Vision | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lynn Vision | 24c | 367.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Lynn Vision | 17c | 282.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Lynn Vision | 26c | 277$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked FURIA | 72c | 200.1$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Lynn Vision | 26c | 199.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…a27abacked FURIA | 73c | 147$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lynn Vision | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…af1abacked Lynn Vision | 23c | 127.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…54c8backed Lynn Vision | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Lynn Vision | 27c | 76.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Lynn Vision | 27c | 59.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13cf…4441backed Lynn Vision | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…df31backed FURIA | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked FURIA | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.