Tennis · resolved market
Norrie vs. Tomic: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa254c76e917d5539ed7bde628f575dc044261de80be12d0cf471a91188943a48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 64c | 623.34$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Over | 59c | 426.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 258.44$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.23 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 42c | 238.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.09 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 41c | 205.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 168.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Over | 58c | 161.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Under | 43c | 129.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Over | 57c | 129.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 55c | 99.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f58…04e4backed Under | 75c | 64.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 73c | 54.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e48…a7bcbacked Over | 57c | 44.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 36.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 80c | 17.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norrie vs. Tomic: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Cameron Norrie vs. Bernard Tomic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Bernard TomicCameron Norrie won
- Norrie vs. Tomic: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Norrie vs TomicNorrie won
- Set Handicap: Norrie (-1.5) vs Tomic (+1.5)Norrie won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.