Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: QoR vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2cfa319e729969c967ef4b9949eb6d01fd8e41670c4f6af4bd8dda8e240b2e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QoRof QoR, Shopify Rebellion Gold
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,085 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 10c | 4,493$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.52 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 8c | 1,404$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 9c | 722.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 11c | 315.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 12c | 249.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 11c | 223.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 10c | 207.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f2…ee56backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 12c | 173.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 11c | 141$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 11c | 121$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 11c | 112$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1503…8b90backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 10c | 100.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…9fe6backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: QoR vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stagethis page
- Map Handicap: QoR (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (+1.5)QoR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.