CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-Flame Sharks vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2fadc53292347a966b0aea70c89ae0c63ca05394a51367a62a3f46518ba6b54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof ex-Flame Sharks, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ex-Flame Sharks | 3c | 1,018$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-Flame Sharks | 22c | 927.74$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.96 | 5,954 | 37.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L | +77.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Johnny Speeds | 79c | 582.28$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.28 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…cde5backed Johnny Speeds | 76c | 223.86$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-Flame Sharks | 24c | 199$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…a1babacked Johnny Speeds | 79c | 162.59$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Johnny Speeds | 71c | 142.84$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Johnny Speeds | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 340 | 39.4%134 W · 206 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Johnny Speeds | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Flame Sharks | 33c | 55.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed ex-Flame Sharks | 25c | 50.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Johnny Speeds | 76c | 43.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…375ebacked Johnny Speeds | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Johnny Speeds | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1,756 | 47.3%830 W · 926 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17c5…3483backed Johnny Speeds | 79c | 13.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-Flame Sharks vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-Flame Sharks vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.