CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PRE (-1.5) vs Millennium Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa310c7489cb91e9f77f6937295f014e74d98e521a0cbc59b8e4cc7dfaae94f60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prestigeof Prestige, Millennium Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Prestige | 46c | 7,037$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,809 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Millennium Esports | 50c | 2,132$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.93 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Millennium Esports | 60c | 1,442$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Millennium Esports | 45c | 1,086$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.76 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Prestige | 56c | 998.95$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.54 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed Millennium Esports | 53c | 742.71$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.64 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Millennium Esports | 53c | 686.72$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.65 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Millennium Esports | 52c | 459.73$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.46 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Prestige | 53c | 456.46$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.31 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Millennium Esports | 53c | 405.3$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Prestige | 47c | 381.83$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.37 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Millennium Esports | 55c | 380$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Prestige | 47c | 370.38$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.3 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Millennium Esports | 60c | 364$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Millennium Esports | 54c | 292.26$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.82 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Millennium Esports | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Prestige | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Millennium Esports | 54c | 208.4$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Millennium Esports | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…77b4backed Millennium Esports | 54c | 152$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Millennium Esports | 52c | 123.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad4…319dbacked Millennium Esports | 54c | 102.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Millennium Esports | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Millennium Esports | 55c | 74.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Millennium Esports | 55c | 74.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Millennium Esports | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Millennium Esports | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Millennium Esports | 61c | 49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Millennium Esports | 45c | 43.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Millennium Esports | 59c | 28.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Millennium Esports | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PRE (-1.5) vs Millennium Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Millennium Esports (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsPrestige won
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Millennium Esports - Map 1 WinnerPrestige won
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Millennium Esports - Map 2 WinnerPrestige won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.