CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Millennium Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fa141eb319b1c17f7df37e3531de191aa9818ed7fcf78cddaf34fcc3a6356a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prestigeof Prestige, Millennium Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Prestige | 63c | 8,215$5,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.69 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Millennium Esports | 38c | 1,959$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.49 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Millennium Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Millennium Esports | 41c | 779.18$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.86 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Millennium Esports | 37c | 663.21$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.47 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Millennium Esports | 41c | 585$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.23 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Millennium Esports | 40c | 466.74$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Millennium Esports | 37c | 401.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Prestige | 55c | 384.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Millennium Esports | 37c | 357.03$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.1 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2b8dbacked Millennium Esports | 37c | 341$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.76 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Millennium Esports | 37c | 318.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Millennium Esports | 37c | 248$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Millennium Esports | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Millennium Esports | 37c | 186$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Millennium Esports | 34c | 180.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Millennium Esports | 32c | 172.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Millennium Esports | 38c | 165.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Millennium Esports | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Millennium Esports | 31c | 146.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Millennium Esports | 22c | 143.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Millennium Esports | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Millennium Esports | 37c | 124.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Millennium Esports | 35c | 117.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Millennium Esports | 35c | 117.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Prestige | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Millennium Esports | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Millennium Esports | 27c | 87.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Millennium Esports | 44c | 79.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Millennium Esports | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked Millennium Esports | 37c | 74.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked Millennium Esports | 36c | 58.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed Prestige | 62c | 54.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Millennium Esports | 37c | 52.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0a…f994backed Millennium Esports | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Millennium Esports | 40c | 46.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Millennium Esports | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Millennium Esports | 31c | 40.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Millennium Esports | 38c | 38.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Millennium Esports | 42c | 38.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Millennium Esports | 48c | 33.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Millennium Esports | 43c | 30.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…9dc6backed Prestige | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Prestige | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Millennium Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Millennium Esports (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsPrestige won
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Millennium Esports - Map 2 WinnerPrestige won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PRE (-1.5) vs Millennium Esports (+1.5)Prestige won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.